By Eric Ting | Originally Posted on SFGATE
Yet another poll of the Gavin Newsom recall election shows a close race and a serious enthusiasm problem on the Democratic side.
The CBS News/YouGov poll, conducted among 1,856 Californians between Aug. 6 and Aug. 12, shows that 54% of registered voters oppose the recall while 46% support it, but the race tightens to 52% opposition and 48% support among likely recall election voters.
A Berkeley Institute of Government Studies/Los Angeles Times poll found a thee-percentage-point race when weighted for turnout, a necessary adjustment for pollsters as every poll released so far has shown Republicans are paying more attention to the recall and thus are more likely to vote.
This new CBS poll found that 86% of Trump 2020 voters said they “definitely will vote” in the recall election, compared with just 75% of Biden 2020 voters who said the same. Only 16% of Trump voters are following the recall election “not very closely” or “not closely at all,” and that figure rises to 32% among Biden voters.
The poll also found that Newsom has positive approval on COVID-19, wildfires and the drought, but negative approval ratings on crime and homelessness. On homelessness specifically, Newsom has just a 40% approval rating.
