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By Paul Steinhauser | Originally Posted on Fox News

Larry Elder, the front-runner in polls and fundraising among the replacement gubernatorial candidates in next month’s California recall election of Gov. Gavin Newsom, says the Democratic governor is on very unstable political ground.

“I think he’s in serious trouble and he knows it,” the well-known conservative talk radio host insisted in an interview Tuesday night on Fox News’ “Gutfeld.”

Pointing to the latest public opinion polls, which indicate those likely to vote in the recall contest are divided on ousting Newsom, Elder noted that “the polls are right in the margin of error. About half of them want him gone, and about half of them don’t.”

The polls point to how crucial turnout will be in the Sept. 14 election in a state where registered Democrats greatly outnumber registered Republicans. One of the recent surveys, a UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies/Los Angeles Times poll conducted two weeks ago, indicated that Republicans appear to be more motivated to cast ballots in the recall contest. Although Republicans only account for roughly a quarter of all registered voters in California, the poll suggested they made up a third of those most likely to vote in the recall election.

During a virtual get-out-the-vote conversation with female Democratic leaders in California on Monday, Newsom warned that “those that think this thing is not close… I’d hate to disabuse you. It is.”

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